New York's coronavirus pandemic could peak in 10 days: ER visits start to decrease despite rising death toll - and state cases level off - as experts say the city could soon 'turn the corner' and 'mitigation is working'
New York could reach its peak of new coronavirus cases within the next seven to 10 days, experts say, as the number of hospital ER visits starts to decrease and official data raises hopes that the city could soon start 'turning the corner'.
New York City saw 138 deaths from the virus on Monday, an increase of 17% on Sunday but well down from Saturday's spike of 222 deaths.
There were 4,319 new cases, which is again lower than Saturday's 5,367 new cases, according to official city figures.
Across New York state, the official number of new cases has fallen two days in a row.
The number of new cases in the state dipped by 19% from Sunday to Monday, falling from 7,157 to 5,818. It was also down from slightly from Saturday to Sunday.
The state death toll increased by 253 (26%) to 1,218 fatal cases on Monday. However over the past three days the number of daily deaths has remained almost flat, with an increase of only six deaths per day from Saturday to Monday.
On Saturday the state announced 247 new deaths, on Sunday 183 and on Monday 253.
Experts say the figures offer a glimmer of hope that hardest-hit New York could soon be 'turning the corner' and headed towards a downward trajectory in terms of coronavirus cases.
Doctor and analyst Scott Gottlieb said: 'More data suggesting that New York could be approaching a peak in new cases. Over the next 7-10 days they could peak and start slowly turning the corner. Mitigation is working in New York.'
However the figures should be treated with caution given that in Italy initial signs that the daily death toll was flattening turned back into a daily increase. Governor Cuomo and Bill De Balsio have also painted a grim picture of days to come.
New York City saw 138 deaths from the virus on Monday, an increase of 17% on Sunday
There were 4,319 new cases, which is again lower than Saturday's 5,367 new cases, according to official city figures.
New York could reach its peak of new coronavirus cases within the next seven to 10 days, experts say, as the daily statewide death toll shows signs it is leveling out and the number of hospital ER visits starts to decrease
The death toll in New York state - the epicenter of the outbreak in the United States - increased by 253 to 1,218 fatal cases on Monday, according to new state figures
Deaths in New York are expected to peak within seven to 10 days, according to Farzad Mostashari, the founder of healthcare startup Aledade and a former national coordinator for Department of Health and Human Services.
Visits to hospital emergency rooms in New York City showed a decline in numbers over the weekend, Mostashari says, which puts hospitalizations on a downward trend and shows signs the state's stay-at-home order is working.
State officials expect the number of deaths in New York to continue to rise as the outbreak reaches its projected peak in the coming weeks.
'Whatever the numbers is, it's going to be staggering,' New York Governor Andrew Cuomo said. 'We've lost over 1,000 New Yorkers... To me, we're beyond staggering already.'
He said the rise in the number of new coronavirus infections appeared to be slowing and the hospital discharge rate was increasing.
'People come into the hospital, they stay for a period of time, a number of days, and then they move on,' Cuomo said.
The state has already confirmed more than 66,000 cases, mostly in New York City. There are 9,500 people in New York currently hospitalized for COVID-19.
It comes as a Navy hospital ship with 1,000 beds arrived in New York City and the Javits Center, a makeshift hospital in Manhattan, started accepting patients on Monday.
The Javits Center will have 2,500 beds and the USNS Comfort Navy ship will cater for an additional 1,000 patients. The additional beds will not be used by coronavirus patients. Instead, the field hospitals will be used by other patients to free up beds in New York's already overwhelmed hospitals.
Cuomo on Monday urged other states across the US to not think they are immune to the virus.
'There is no American that is immune. What is happening to New York is not an anomaly. In many ways, it's the canary in the coal mine,' Cuomo said.
'What you see us going through here, you will see happening all across this country. We believe that we're dealing with this pandemic at a level intensity that no one has seen before.
The Navy ship the USNS Comfort arriving in New York City on Monday bringing with it 1,000 more hospital beds to New York's crippled system
The Navy ship arriving in New York City on Monday morning bringing with it 1,000 hospital beds
'We've dealt with some really deadly illnesses. We dealt with the Ebola virus, that's not what this is. It tends to be the people who are acutely ill who have the most problems.
'The situation is painfully clear now; there's no question as to what we're dealing with there's no question to grief or loss of life. There's no question of what we must do,' he said.
Cuomo fumed that he was still seeing 'too many people' in the streets of New York City and said staying at home was the first step to helping curb the spread.
'Stay at home. When I issued the stay-at-home order, it wasn't, 'it would be nice if you did.' Stay at home! If you leave the house, you're exposing yourself to danger and others to danger,' he said.
'I know the isolation can be boring and oppressive. It is better than the alternative. Stay at home. That is the best option. If you are out, no proximity. 6ft distancing.
'You want to stay away from places that are dense. Still, in New York City, you have too many places with too much density. I don't know how many different ways to make the same point.'
Beds are lined up in a tent as volunteers from the International Christian relief organization Samaritans Purse set up an Emergency Field Hospital for patients suffering from the coronavirus in Central Park across Fifth Avenue from Mt. Sinai Hospital
The Emergency Field Hospital for patients suffering from the coronavirus has been set up in Central Park across from Mt. Sinai Hospital
New York's coronavirus pandemic could peak in 10 days: ER visits start to decrease despite rising death toll - and state cases level off - as experts say the city could soon 'turn the corner' and 'mitigation is working'
![New York's coronavirus pandemic could peak in 10 days: ER visits start to decrease despite rising death toll - and state cases level off - as experts say the city could soon 'turn the corner' and 'mitigation is working']()
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