MSNBC Contributor Says Pollsters ‘Have No Idea If They’re Right’ About Midterm Elections

 An MSNBC contributor said Monday on “Morning Joe” that pollsters “have no idea” if they are correctly predicting the outcomes of the midterm elections.

The panel agreed that it is “impossible to tell” if the Republicans will sweep the floor after Tuesday’s election. Democrats in different parts of the country have mixed feelings on the upcoming outcomes of the elections.

“Anyone who tells you they know what’s gonna happen is lying to you,” Lisa Lerer, New York Times senior political correspondent, said. “We just don’t know and look, we’re in an extraordinary time. This is the first post-Roe, post-January 6th, post-pandemic election. We’ve never lived through this before, the pollsters have no idea if they’re right, they think they’re right but maybe their assumptions on whose command to vote is wrong. Democrats are really excited about the surge of early votes but we don’t know. We know Republicans vote more on Election Day, we don’t know how many are coming out. We just don’t know.”

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Anchor Joe Scarborough raised the question on whether the overturning of Roe v. Wade will boost Democrats in the elections. Lerer said that voters “care about abortion rights,” but said that it may not be a “deciding factor” in the elections. 

Several polls have been in the Republican Party’s favor, with inflation and the economy continuing to be a key issue for voters. The Washington Post/ABC News poll found that 51% of voters trust Republicans over Democrats on handling the economy, and 51% trust Republicans on the issue of crime. Meanwhile, less than 40% of voters trust Democrats on those two issues.

The poll surveyed 881 registered voters between Oct. 30-Nov. 2 with a 4% margin of error.

A Rasmussen poll found that 48% of likely voters intend to vote Republican, while 41% have said they will vote Democrat. Republicans have also gained massive momentum among Independent voters, with this particular poll finding that 46% plan to vote for the GOP in comparison to 30% planning to vote Democrat. The poll was conducted on Oct. 9 through Oct. 13 and has a margin of sampling error of +/-2 percentage points.